5 Reasons Trump Will Fail (and it’s already happening)

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How Dune Explains Political Power https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84er5b6v8wc />
00:00 Intro
01:29 Argument 1 – Everything changes in politics
02:35 Thermostatic politics
03:33 Argument 2- You break it, you own it
03:50 Incumbency fatigue
04:44 Argument 3 – Overreach
06:30 Purity spiral
06:50 Argument 4 – Succession failure
07:22 Charisma
08:14 Argument 5 – His ideas won’t work
09:04 Rule of Law
09:52 Conclusion

SOURCES
Facebook and fact-checkers https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cly74mpy8klo
Media orgs caving into lawsuits https://www.thefire.org/news/media-outlets-must-not-cave-trumps-lawfare
Vibe-shifts articles
– https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2024/07/the-changes-in-vibes-why-did-they-happen.html
– https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2025-01-20/inauguration-donald-trump-vibe
– https://www.ian-leslie.com/p/notes-on-the-great-vibe-shift
– https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/19/opinion/trump-mandate-zuckerberg-masculinity.html
– https://www.slowboring.com/p/the-vibes-they-are-a-shiftin
Democrats are demoralised https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-return-to-office-opinion-poll-2025-01-19/
Presidential scholarship on declining support https://www.jstor.org/stable/1955610
Thermostatic politics https://goodauthority.org/news/good-to-know-thermostatic-politics-public-opinion/
Opinion shifts during Trump and Obama http://kelizabethcoggins.com/mood-policy-agendas
Trump’s approval ratings in term 1 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/
Turn away from incumbents https://time.com/6999625/us-france-japan-india-elections/
Trump’s popular vote https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/19/opinion/trump-mandate-zuckerberg-masculinity.html
Inflation and economy key concerns https://bsky.app/profile/drjennings.bsky.social/post/3lh5rgt4eqs2k
Many Jan. 6 Rioters Pardoned by Trump Attacked Police, Videos Show https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/23/us/politics/jan-6-trump-pardon-capitol-riots-video-evidence.html
Inflation price increases https://www.dailymail.co.uk/yourmoney/consumer/article-14355063/trump-tariff-price-rises-coming-beers-avocado-cars-gas.html
Spending freeze https://www.politico.com/news/2025/01/28/chaos-confusion-trump-order-freeze-federal-dollars-00201079
Trump ally criticises pardons for violent Jan 6 offenders
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c79dlyzvnvxo
Trump supporter talks tariffs https://www.tiktok.com/@waltermasterson/video/7432690279515245870?lang=en
Illegal actions
– https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-funding-freeze-blatant-violation-constitution-federal-law/story?id=118183957
– https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jan/28/trump-watchdog-firings-inspectors-general
– https://uk.news.yahoo.com/lawmakers-legal-experts-warn-shuttering-224554126.html
Conservative criticism https://x.com/Brian_Riedl/status/1886447518302560351
Trump & free speech:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/restoring-freedom-of-speech-and-ending-federal-censorship/
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-administration-cancel-student-visas-all-hamas-sympathizers-white-house-2025-01-29/